Saawua Terzungwe
Political analysts have expressed divergent views over the decision by Peter Obi, former Anambra State governor and Rabiu Kwankwaso, former Kano State governor, to leave the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and align with the newly registered Nigerian Democratic Congress (NDC) ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
Obi had earlier on Sunday announced his resignation from the ADC, citing persistent internal crises and what he described as a toxic political environment within the party.
In a statement, he said his decision followed careful reflection on disputes that, according to him, had distracted the party from addressing pressing national issues.
He added that his exit was not due to personal disagreements with party leaders, including former Senate President David Mark and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, whom he said he still respects.
Kwankwaso is also expected to formally join the NDC, as both politicians move to realise their presidential ambitions on the platform of the new party.
Leaders of the NDC on Sunday night hosted Obi and Kwankwaso in Abuja, in a meeting attended by the party’s National Chairman, Moses Cleopas, and its National Leader,.Senator Seriake Dickson.
Obi and Kwankwaso, who came third and fourth respectively in the 2023 presidential election on the platforms of the Labour Party (LP) and the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP), had earlier joined the ADC coalition aimed at unseating President Bola Tinubu in 2027.
A chieftain of the ADC, Buba Galadima, had disclosed that the two political heavyweights would formally defect to the NDC on Monday. Sources said the Sunday meeting is aimed at finalising the process.
Weighing in on the matter, Bernard Mikko, a political scientist, described the move as strategic, saying it aligns with the politicians’ long-standing ambitions.
“There is freedom of association, including political participation. Given the developments in the Labour Party, PDP and ADC, politicians will always find platforms to present themselves to the electorate.
“Obi has a long-standing presidential ambition, and if he sees a viable platform, he will utilise it. Looking at the 2023 election results, Obi has become more of a movement than just a political party. He enjoys strong support from young people who believe in his philosophy and approach.
“It remains to be seen whether that support can translate into electoral success. Kwankwaso, on the other hand, remains a strong political force in Kano and beyond. Together, this could be a strategic alignment.
“A strong opposition is vital for a healthy democracy. When opposition is weak, governance suffers. Nigerians should expect a more competitive contest in 2027,” he said.
However, Jackson Lekan Ojo, another analyst, criticised the move, arguing that it weakens opposition efforts and diminishes public confidence.
“Peter Obi has lost a significant portion of his supporters due to these recent developments. Many Nigerians now believe he is no longer a serious contender.
“There is a growing perception that these moves are self-serving rather than driven by national interest. Moving to a newly formed party raises questions about their commitment to building a viable alternative.
“This development has effectively split opposition votes and may inadvertently strengthen President Tinubu’s chances of securing a second term,” he said.
Ojo added that the fragmentation within opposition ranks could create an advantage for the ruling party, as voters may begin to sympathise with the president amid what he described as disorganised opposition politics.
Source: Businessday.ng | Read the Full Story…
